Vienneau ([info]vienneau) wrote,
@ 2006-02-20 16:48:00
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Current mood: pessimistic
Current music:Paula Abdul - "Rush Rush"

Workbrain Up $5 - Thousands Become Filthy Rich!

Popular belief is that I'm not very good when it comes to picking stocks. And as we read a few months ago, popular belief is pretty much correct.

This is why you should immediately drop whatever you're doing (or not doing - I mean, how busy can you be if you're reading LiveJournal?) and sprint, not mosey, to the nearest Internet connection/phone and buy as much of Workbrain (WB) as you can afford. Sell the kids if you have to - when the stock price doubles in a few weeks you can always buy them back (along with an extra little brother!)

Today, a mere four months after I originally purchased them, I sold my thousand shares of Workbrain (cost: $13,400) for a meager $250 profit. Others may proclaim the value of technical or fundamental indicators in determining when to purchase a stock, but my experience has clearly shown that my selling a security is the best indicator you can find. I sold my Telus shares last year and they immediately doubled. I sold Canadian resource stocks about two to three years ago just as they began an incredible boom where values are (still) tripling (at least). I'm so ahead of the curve when it comes to investing that I leave the party before it begins.

I'm not so good with the stocks.

On the plus side, a friend of mine can now stop lazing around the office and actually earning his inflated salary. You see, he works for Workbrain. As someone who owned 1/17000th of his company, he was technically my employee. And I think he was slacking off. How else do you explain a stock that bounced between $14 and $15 suddenly plummeting to $11.25 a few weeks after I buy in at a seemingly reasonable $13.40? Sure, he says he's confident in the company and not exercising his options because he thinks the stock is under-valued. But I think he was just suckering me in because I made out with his girlfriend in front of him a few years ago (in my defence, she was one of four fantastic ladies I made out with that night, so one can hardly blame me for malicious intent).

But I digress. The important point to take away from this is that I made out with two of those ladies at the same time. And then all the ladies started making out with each other. Wait, that's not it. Wasn't I talking about money or something?

Oh yes, Workbrain. The important thing to take away from this is that you should immediately buy as much Workbrain as you can, just so I can kick myself. As I'm purchasing a house in a few months I need to begin liquidating most of my positions thus I couldn't afford to wait to see if the stock would recover to previous highs. It was a bit too stressful to watch the price plummet a dollar and then give me hope by giving back 75 cents before crushing me with another dollar drop. I'm not a young man anymore, my heart (and mortgage) couldn't take the strain!

If you'd like to invest in the "Whatever You Do, Do The Opposite Of Vienneau" mutual fund, currently returning somewhere around 20-50% a year, here's your chance. Just be sure to think of me when you're living the high life off my mistakes and I'll be sure to keep making them.

Dammit.

EDIT: This morning I check and OMG the price has fallen to $12.61! I've just avoided a $1000 loss! But sure enough, by 11:20am people apparently started to read my entry and the price was a dime higher than where I sold it. Dammit.




(12 comments) - (Post a new comment)


[info]glimmering_star
2006-02-21 12:16 am UTC (link)
Yay! I exist!

(Reply to this)


[info]jodiamonds
2006-02-21 06:00 am UTC (link)
It'd be nice to have money to invest. ;)

(Reply to this) (Thread)


[info]vienneau
2006-02-21 04:15 pm UTC (link)

It's all about living like a cheap bastard (as my friends will eagerly attest). Live like a Spartan or a monk and you'll soon have lots of extra cash - but you may not enjoy life as much. I didn't have a car until I was 28 and it's 13 years old, I didn't really date seriously until I was 30, I live in a run-down apartment with hand-me-down furniture, my computer is six years old, I don't go out to movies or pay for extra TV channels, I don't have a cell phone or any extra features like Call Answer or Call Waiting. And until recently I ate the cheap and crappy food from the store that wasn't all that good for me.a

And in the end - I still won't have any money to invest after June 26th, I'll be paying off a mortgage!

(Reply to this) (Parent)(Thread)


(Anonymous)
2006-02-21 04:45 pm UTC (link)
It's a fair comment. I could certainly increase my savings a little, but if I really wanted to do that I'd probably need to do one of two things:

1. Move back in with my parents.
2. Get a higher paying job.

The first one I'm not really willing to consider (but would help a lot, though it would require getting a car), while the second one is one I consider every so often as it really is the best way for me to save any real money. It would just be less fun.

I'm pretty frugal (though there's no way you could know that). I'm 29 and have never owned a car, and have never lived alone (two big chunks of money right there). I've only dated sporadically (certainly I don't blow a lot of money on women). I've never owned a television. I recently cut down my mobile phone bill, thankfully.

I have probably overspent on computers, though I've had a couple last for 8+ years (but others last only 2-3, when I was probably too impatient to get them fixed properly and just got a new one instead because I was too frustrated).

But the real way for me to make more money would be to stop designing video games and become a full time non-game programmer or some kind of IT work.

Anyway, enough of my introspection on your LJ. Congratulations on being such a tightwad you can have a mortgage now! ;)

(Reply to this) (Parent)(Thread)


[info]jodiamonds
2006-02-21 04:46 pm UTC (link)
Also, computers are hard, let's go shopping.

(Reply to this) (Parent)


[info]noumignon
2006-03-11 02:42 pm UTC (link)
Stock picking is a sucker's game, this is like blaming yourself for picking the wrong card in three card monte. Again your mistakes are not the ones you think you're making. It's not picking the wrong time to sell a stock, it's being seriously in individual stocks at all -- investing studies show this is extra risk uncompensated by extra return. Another clear mistake is to still be in stocks just months before you need the money. If buying a house was foreseeable, with a time horizon like that you should have begun shifting into bonds long ago. Stock motions are random, but losses due to poor investing strategy are avoidable. You need to read William Bernstein's The Four Pillars of Investing or similar, to stay rich!

(Reply to this) (Thread)


[info]vienneau
2006-03-17 05:08 am UTC (link)

I agree that being invested in something volatile shortly before needing the money is not a good idea. But I've been investing for years while the house kind of surprised me. And while a sudden 50% drop in all my holdings would probably ruin me, it didn't happen and I've divested myself of most securities in the past few weeks.

I'm not sure what you mean by extra risk is uncompensated by extra return? Stocks provide the highest return, and they are the riskiest. As someone who is young and can handle volatility (ie, I don't depend on the money to eat), stocks seem like a very reasonable investment. Do you have samples of the investing studies you're referring to?

I've read a variety of investing books, but I haven't read the one you mention. Most of them point out, quite correctly, that I have a poor investment strategy. I make things even more random by not doing sufficient research and buying on a whim. I suspect purchasing a house is the best thing for me, if only to keep me out of the markets!

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[info]noumignon
2006-04-08 10:44 pm UTC (link)
Hi, you can see my fatal flaw as a blogger is being slow to post about things. I got the idea of uncompensated risk from pages 122-124 ((Amazon search-inside link) of some book by Larry Swedroe. Not very scientific, now that I look at it -- just stated with authority. He just means that while the market does compensate you for some risks, like taking the risk of stocks over bonds, it doesn't compensate you for strictly unnecessary risks that disappear with diversification. So if you tried picking just one stock, over and over, you'd do the same on average as buying a diverse group, but with more risk.

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[info]vienneau
2006-04-11 05:15 pm UTC (link)

Diversifying is a well-known investment maxim. There was a seminal article on the topic in the 50s/60s by a (later) Nobel prize winner that showed how you could reduce risk but maintain returns by diversifying.

While I'm not as diversified as I probably should be, I'm certainly invested in more than one stock! I generally have around 10 (you're supposed to have 10-20, but it's hard to concentrate on more than 10) at any one time, though now that I'm liquidating for my house I've reduced holdings.

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[info]noumignon
2006-04-21 12:01 pm UTC (link)
I was wrong to criticize you. Not everyone has to talk like Warren Buffett to be a good investor. I'll just let you be you and try to be more constructive next time.

(Reply to this) (Parent)

better sell workbrain
(Anonymous)
2006-03-25 12:00 am UTC (link)
workbrain is a dud, sell it while you can. the kids are killing the company.

(Reply to this)


[info]everythingfinanceblog.com
2009-02-12 08:17 pm UTC (link)
Great Article. Nice Work.

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